- STRK surged 116% last week before pulling back — now rebounding from channel low near $0.106 with $0.112 mid-range in focus
- MAGIC rallied ~165% and is consolidating in a broadening pattern — $0.123 lower boundary is the key level per @alicharts
- Wormhole ($W) printed a TD Sequential sell '9' signal near $0.030 dashed reference level, flagging momentum exhaustion
- STRK's 116% rally was narrative-driven by Starknet's proposed Ethereum exit — no governance vote or launch date confirmed
Three altcoins posted triple-digit gains last week — and analyst Ali Martinez (@alicharts) is now mapping whether each has more room to run or whether the move is exhausted. Starknet (STRK) gained 116%, Treasure (MAGIC) rallied roughly 165%, and Wormhole ($W) surged before a technical exhaustion signal appeared at the top. The setups across all three are structurally different — each requiring a different lens.
Martinez published a five-part thread on October 12, 2026, breaking down the hourly chart structure for each asset. The thread does not predict directional certainty — it maps where each asset is sitting inside its pattern and what the next likely test will be. The primary catalyst for STRK’s move was Starknet’s proposal, introduced around October 8, to leave Ethereum and become an independent, quantum-resistant Layer 1 by 2027. That proposal remains unapproved with no launch date confirmed. MAGIC and W were not driven by a single named catalyst in Martinez’s thread.
Signal 1 — STRK: Parallel Channel, Lower Boundary Rebound
Starknet printed a 116% weekly gain before pulling back from a high near $0.13. On the one-hour chart, Martinez identifies STRK as trading inside a parallel channel. Price has since rebounded from the channel’s lower boundary — with the chart showing that lower boundary near the $0.106 level (explicitly labeled in black box on the chart) — and the mid-range near $0.112 is now in focus as the first internal target.

If momentum continues, the upper boundary of the channel near $0.124 becomes the directional target. The pattern projects a W-shaped recovery path from the current lower boundary rebound toward that upper zone. It is worth being precise here: the $0.13 high was the pre-pullback peak, not a channel level. The channel’s labeled boundaries on the chart are $0.106 (lower) and $0.124 (upper), with $0.112 as the mid-point. The primary catalyst — Starknet’s potential transition to an independent L1 — remains a narrative-stage proposal. No governance vote has occurred. A scheduled 127 million STRK token unlock on October 15 represents a potential supply-side risk that Martinez’s thread notes as relevant context.
Signal 2 — MAGIC: Broadening Pattern After a 165% Rally
Treasure’s MAGIC token rallied approximately 165% last week — a figure stated explicitly by Martinez in the thread, not derived from the chart itself. After that surge, MAGIC is now consolidating inside what Martinez identifies as a right-angle broadening pattern: a flat horizontal lower boundary and an upward-sloping upper trendline creating a widening range.

Price has touched the flat lower boundary near $0.123 — the level explicitly labeled on the one-hour chart. The pattern’s dashed projection suggests a potential rebound toward the upper sloping boundary near $0.16. The critical observation here is that broadening patterns are inherently less predictable than channels — they expand rather than contract, meaning the range of outcomes widens with time. The $0.123 lower boundary is the level that defines whether the consolidation holds or breaks down further.
Signal 3 — Wormhole ($W): TD Sequential Sell Signal at the Peak
Wormhole’s $W token staged a sustained staircase rally visible across the one-hour chart — price moving from lower left to upper right across the visible session range. But Martinez flags a technical exhaustion signal at the top: the TD Sequential has printed a sell “9” signal near the $0.030 level, which is explicitly marked with a dashed horizontal line on the chart as a key reference.

The TD Sequential counts nine consecutive bars closing higher — identifying momentum exhaustion at a price extreme, not a guaranteed reversal. Two “9” signals appear on the chart: one mid-rally during a consolidation phase, and one near the recent peak. The second “9” is the one Martinez is flagging. A “1” label appears near the right side of the chart, suggesting the beginning of a potential new count. The chart’s labeled price range runs from $0.018 at the low to $0.034 at the upper boundary — with $0.030 as the dashed reference level where the sell signal printed. Martinez does not state a downside target; the signal indicates exhaustion, not a confirmed reversal direction.
The Common Thread: Post-Surge Structure, Not Fresh Breakouts
All three assets share the same macro situation: they have already moved 100%+, and Martinez is analyzing the post-surge structure rather than the initial breakout. This is a materially different analytical context. A channel rebound after a 116% gain (STRK), a broadening consolidation after 165% (MAGIC), and a TD Sequential exhaustion after a sustained rally (W) are all signals of what happens after the first move — not confirmations that a second equivalent move is imminent.
The question Martinez poses in the thread title — “More gains ahead?” — is answered differently for each asset. For STRK, the channel structure gives a defined framework: $0.112 mid-range, $0.124 upper target, with $0.106 as the level that must hold. For MAGIC, $0.123 is the boundary between consolidation and breakdown. For $W, the TD Sequential “9” is a caution flag, not a buy or sell directive. For further context on how altcoins are performing in the current macro environment, see Bitcoin Up 29% Despite Strong Dollar and Higher Rates — CryptoQuant.
Bullish Scenario
STRK reclaims $0.112 mid-channel and holds → upper boundary at $0.124 becomes the target. MAGIC holds $0.123 and bounces → upper sloping boundary near $0.16 in focus. $W absorbs the TD Sequential “9” without a significant pullback → new count begins from current levels and rally extends.
Bearish Scenario
STRK loses $0.106 lower channel boundary → parallel channel structure is invalidated. MAGIC breaks below $0.123 flat support → broadening pattern resolves to the downside. $W confirms TD Sequential exhaustion with follow-through selling below $0.030 dashed reference level.
All three assets made their major moves. Martinez’s analysis maps where each one stands inside its post-rally pattern — and in each case, one specific level determines whether the structure holds or fails. For STRK, that level is $0.106. For MAGIC, it is $0.123. For $W, it is the $0.030 dashed reference. Those are the numbers to watch. For broader context on altcoin setups in the current environment, ONDO, ALGO, and INJ are also flagging breakout setups worth monitoring alongside this thread.
Source: x.comFrequently Asked Questions
What is the TD Sequential sell ‘9’ signal on Wormhole ($W) and does it mean the rally is over?
What caused Starknet (STRK) to rally 116% in a week?
Is a 127 million STRK token unlock on October 15 a risk to the current channel setup?
What does a right-angle broadening pattern mean for MAGIC’s price?
Source: Ali Charts · Published by CoinsProbe Markets Desk
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