- Spot gold breaks below $4,000/oz for first time since July 29th — chart prints $3,996.145
- Gold is down 15% from its August 25th all-time high per @KobeissiLetter
- Catalyst: escalating US-Iran geopolitical tensions driving the sell-off
- $4,000 now flips to immediate resistance — $3,900 is the next visible chart level
Spot gold has broken below the $4,000 per ounce level for the first time since July 29th, with US-Iran geopolitical tensions identified as the direct catalyst driving the sell-off, according to @KobeissiLetter.
The move marks a 15% decline from gold’s August 25th high — a significant drawdown for an asset widely held as a safe-haven during periods of geopolitical stress. The breakdown is notable precisely because escalating tensions between the US and Iran would typically be expected to support gold prices, not accelerate selling. The reversal suggests position liquidation or a broader risk-off rotation is overriding the conventional geopolitical premium.
The daily chart reinforces the severity of the move. A sharp bearish candle at the far right of the chart breaks decisively below the $4,000 dashed horizontal line — a psychologically significant round-number support — with the price label printing $3,996.145 at the time of the chart capture, down 0.70% on the session. The chart shows a sustained downtrend from September through early November, with the $4,000 level having provided intermittent support before today’s breach.
This is not the first commodity market to respond to escalating Middle East tensions in 2025. Earlier this year, Brent Crude surged above $117 for the first time since March on Iran strike fears — demonstrating how rapidly energy and commodity markets reprice on geopolitical escalation headlines.
The $4,000 level now becomes immediate resistance. A sustained recovery above it would suggest the sell-off was a liquidity sweep rather than a structural breakdown. A daily close below it confirms the bear trend has accelerated into new range territory, with the next technical reference zone at the $3,900 level visible on the right axis of the chart.
Watch $4,000 as the line between a temporary flush and a confirmed regime shift lower in gold.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why would gold fall when US-Iran tensions are escalating — isn’t gold a safe haven?
What is the next key support level for gold after breaking $4,000?
When was the last time gold traded below $4,000 before today?
Source: Kobeissiletter · Published by CoinsProbe Markets Desk
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