Date: Mon, Dec 29, 2025 | 12:25 PM GMT
The broader cryptocurrency market is experiencing a short-term pullback, with Bitcoin (BTC) slipping to $87K level after briefly reclaiming $90K earlier today. This mild retracement has weighed on sentiment across the market, with several altcoins also trading under pressure — including Filecoin (FIL).
FIL is trading in the red today, but beneath the surface, its technical structure is beginning to show signs of recovery. Despite the short-term weakness, the chart is now flashing a harmonic setup that could support a continued upside move if key levels are reclaimed.
Harmonic Pattern Hints at Potential Upside
On the 4-hour chart, Filecoin appears to be forming a Bearish Bat harmonic pattern — a structure that often allows for a bullish advance during the CD leg before reaching the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
The pattern originated near Point X around $1.595, followed by a sharp decline into Point A. From there, FIL rebounded into Point B before pulling back once more into Point C near the $1.201 region. This area acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively to prevent further downside.
Since establishing the Point C low, FIL has staged a steady recovery and is now trading near $1.336. Importantly, price has reclaimed the 100-hour moving average around $1.289 — a key short-term signal that selling pressure is easing and buyers are beginning to regain control.
The next major technical hurdle sits at the 200-hour moving average near $1.409. A clean break and sustained hold above this level would confirm the continuation of the CD leg and significantly strengthen the bullish case.
What’s Next for Filecoin (FIL)?
If FIL continues to defend the 100-hour MA and manages to flip the 200-hour MA into support, the harmonic structure points toward a move into the PRZ zone. Based on Fibonacci projections, this target area lies between $1.546 (0.886 extension) and $1.595 (1.0 extension).
This zone represents the completion of the Bearish Bat pattern and aligns with prior resistance, making it a logical area where price could react or consolidate. Until then, the short-term trend remains constructive as long as FIL continues to print higher lows and maintain its reclaimed moving average support.
On the downside, failure to hold above the 100-hour MA could result in temporary consolidation or a shallow pullback, though the broader recovery structure would remain intact as long as the $1.20 support zoneC remains protected.
Overall, Filecoin is approaching a technically important phase. While broader market volatility persists, the harmonic setup, improving structure, and key moving average reclaim suggest FIL may have room to extend higher in the near term if momentum continues to build.
Disclaimer: The views and analysis presented in this article are for informational purposes only and reflect the author’s perspective, not financial advice. Technical patterns and indicators discussed are subject to market volatility and may or may not yield the anticipated results. Investors are advised to exercise caution, conduct independent research, and make decisions aligned with their individual risk tolerance.
About Author: Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Lead Author of Coinsprobe, with over 5 years of experience in the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry. Since launching Coinsprobe in 2023, he has been providing daily, research-driven insights through in-depth market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research.
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