Key Highlights
  • HYPE has dropped over 8% in 24 hours and declined more than 30% monthly, but is forming a bullish fractal pattern similar to SUI's April 2025 recovery.
  • The fractal shows HYPE following SUI's timeline with a bearish MA crossover in 45 days (vs SUI's 47 days), suggesting a potential bottom formation in 89 days from the peak.
  • HYPE could establish a final low near the $25 region, which aligns with a historical demand zone for potential stabilization.
  • Confirmation of the bullish setup would require HYPE to reclaim the 50-day moving average at $37.80, which could validate the fractal thesis and shift market structure bullish.

Date: Tue, Dec 09, 2025 | 10:15 AM GMT

The broader crypto market remains under volatility ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting, with both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading in the red. This wave of weakness has spilled into major altcoins, and Hyperliquid (HYPE) has been no exception.

Over the last 24 hours, HYPE has dropped more than 8%, extending its monthly decline to over 30%. However, while the price action looks weak on the surface, the chart is quietly forming something far more interesting — a repeating fractal structure that closely resembles Sui’s (SUI) April 2025 recovery pattern.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price
Source: Coinmarketcap

HYPE Is Mirroring SUI’s Historical Fractal

Both SUI and HYPE displayed a clean rounding bottom, followed by an explosive rally that topped out with a well-defined rounding top. After the peak, price action cooled and began interacting with the base line zone, while a bearish moving average crossover confirmed that the short-term trend had flipped.

Historically, SUI completed its bearish MA crossover in 47 days after topping. It then took nearly 91 days from its high to build a solid macro bottom, which formed inside a strong demand region between $1.70 and $2.15 before the next expansion leg started.

SUI and HYPE Fractal Chart
SUI and HYPE Fractal Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

HYPE now appears to be following this same roadmap.

From its recent peak, HYPE printed a bearish MA crossover in just 45 days, nearly identical to SUI’s timing. Using this symmetry — and allowing for a small two-day lag — HYPE could complete its bottoming structure in roughly 89 days from the top.

Structurally, the chart now suggests a potential final low being carved out near the $25 region, a level that also aligns with a historical demand zone.

What’s Next for HYPE?

If this bullish fractal continues to play out, HYPE would need to stabilize and mark a bottom around the $25 zone in the near term. The real confirmation, however, will come with a successful reclaim of the 50-day moving average, currently sitting near $37.80.

A clean break and hold above that level could validate the entire fractal thesis and shift the market structure back toward bullish continuation.

This setup doesn’t guarantee that HYPE will perfectly mirror SUI’s prior move, but the similarities in structure and timing are difficult to ignore. Traders should keep a close eye on how price behaves around the $25 demand zone.

Disclaimer: The views and analysis presented in this article are for informational purposes only and reflect the author’s perspective, not financial advice. Technical patterns and indicators discussed are subject to market volatility and may or may not yield the anticipated results. Investors are advised to exercise caution, conduct independent research, and make decisions aligned with their individual risk tolerance.


Nilesh Hembade
Written by
Nilesh Hembade
Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Author of Coinsprobe, with 5+ years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain. Since launching the platform in 2023, he delivers daily, research-driven insights through market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research. His work has been featured on Binance, Bitget, and CoinMarketCap. He is also certified through Binance Academy (NFT Certificate).
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