Key Highlights
  • Toncoin has rebounded from $2.90 support to the $4.0 range after a significant 90-day downturn, now testing the crucial 100-day moving average resistance.
  • Pavel Durov, Telegram's founder associated with Toncoin, has officially left France for Dubai with authorities' approval following his August 2024 arrest over allegations that Telegram facilitated criminal activity.
  • The MACD indicator is attempting a bullish crossover, and a successful break above the 100MA could confirm a new uptrend with potential targets around $5.48.
  • TON remains within a long-term ascending channel since 2021, with the 100MA historically acting as strong support that previously triggered a 300% price surge.

Date: Fri, March 28, 2025 | 06:14 AM GMT

After a significant downturn over the past 90 days, Toncoin (TON) has staged a rebound, posting notable weekly gains. This recovery aligns with a slight uptrend in the broader crypto market and recent developments involving Telegram’s founder, Pavel Durov.

Toncoin (TON) Price
Source: Coinmarketcap

Durov, who has long been associated with Toncoin, has officially left France and traveled to Dubai with the approval of French authorities. His departure follows his arrest in August 2024 at Le Bourget Airport near Paris, where he faced legal scrutiny over allegations that Telegram facilitated criminal activity.

Toncoin Bounces to Key MA Resistance

A technical analysis of Toncoin’s weekly chart shows that the price has remained within a long-term ascending channel since the 2021 bull run. However, after facing strong rejection at $8.28 in mid-2024, TON underwent a sharp correction, eventually testing the ascending support level at $2.90.

Toncoin (TON) Weekly Chart
Toncoin (TON) Weekly Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

Following the recent developments, TON has now bounced back to $4.0 range, where it is currently testing the crucial 100-day moving average (100 MA). This level has historically acted as a strong support zone, previously triggering a massive 300% surge in TON’s price.

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is currently attempting a bullish crossover, a signal that often precedes strong upward momentum. If TON successfully breaks above the 5100MA, it could confirm a new uptrend, potentially pushing the price toward the mid-range resistance of the channel, around $5.48.

Final Thought

With TON bouncing from key support, MACD flashing a potential bullish signal, and important resistance levels in sight, the coming weeks could be crucial for Toncoin’s trend direction. If a breakout occurs, it may mark the beginning of a larger uptrend toward higher resistance levels. However, a failure to hold above the 100 MA could lead to further consolidation.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies.


Nilesh Hembade
Written by
Nilesh Hembade
Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Author of Coinsprobe, with 5+ years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain. Since launching the platform in 2023, he delivers daily, research-driven insights through market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research. His work has been featured on Binance, Bitget, and CoinMarketCap. He is also certified through Binance Academy (NFT Certificate).
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