Key Highlights
  • Polkadot (DOT) has declined 42% this year amid broader crypto market weakness, with Ethereum posting its worst Q1 performance since 2018.
  • A Bearish Gartley harmonic pattern on DOT's daily chart suggests potential upside toward point D completion at $5.01, representing a 30% gain from current levels around $3.82.
  • DOT bottomed at $3.25 on April 7 and has since shifted into an uptrend, currently completing the CD leg of the harmonic pattern.
  • Key resistance levels include $4.32 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) in the near term and $5.01 (78.6% retracement), where bearish reactions typically occur upon pattern completion.

Date: Sun, April 20, 2025 | 11:10 AM GMT

The cryptocurrency market has been under intense selling pressure recently, with Ethereum (ETH) posting its worst Q1 since 2018, sliding more than 45%. That bearish wave swept across the major altcoins— and the Polkadot (DOT) token wasn’t spared either as it declined by 42% this year.

Polkadot (DOT) Token Price
Source: Coinmarketcap

But there’s a shift in momentum brewing as a classic harmonic pattern now hints that a rebound could rise further.

Harmonic Pattern Signals More Upside Move

The daily chart for DOT reveals the formation of a Bearish Gartley Pattern, but as of now, there’s still plenty of upside room left as the token approaches point D to complete the structure.

DOT’s sharp decline began around February 14, after it failed to hold above the $5.37 resistance level (marked as point X). Since then, the token lost nearly 40% of its value, eventually bottoming out near $3.25 on April 7 (point C).

Polkadot (DOT) Daily Chart
Polkadot (DOT) Daily Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

However, since hitting that low, DOT has shifted gears, and the recent price action suggests it is now completing the CD leg of the pattern — potentially setting the stage for a continuation of this uptrend.

From here, DOT could extend this rebound toward the final target (point D) of the Gartley pattern, projected at $5.01 — a potential gain of around 30% from the current price near $3.82 if the pattern plays out fully.

What’s Ahead?

Should this bullish momentum continue, traders and investors could watch for a move toward the $5.01 area. This zone represents not just the pattern completion but also coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg, a major resistance area where a pullback could occur.

However, caution is still needed as DOT approaches the D point. Bearish reactions typically happen once harmonic patterns complete, meaning profit-taking and volatility could kick in once prices reach the upper target.

For now, the path appears tilted upward, with the $4.32 level (the 38.2% Fib retracement) acting as near-term resistance. A clear break above this zone could further strengthen the bullish setup and push DOT toward its pattern completion target.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies.


Nilesh Hembade
Written by
Nilesh Hembade
Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Author of Coinsprobe, with 5+ years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain. Since launching the platform in 2023, he delivers daily, research-driven insights through market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research. His work has been featured on Binance, Bitget, and CoinMarketCap. He is also certified through Binance Academy (NFT Certificate).
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