Date: Wed, July 09 2025 | 05:42 PM GMT

As Q3 kicks off, the cryptocurrency market continues its impressive rally from Q2. Ethereum (ETH) is leading the charge, trading near $2715 with strong 9% gains this month. Riding this momentum, many altcoins are setting up for potentially big moves — including Avalanche (AVAX).

AVAX is in green today with modest gains. But it’s the recent chart structure that’s turning heads — one that closely mirrors the breakout pattern seen on Sei (SEI), which just rallied 76% off its bottom.

AVAX Coin Price
Source: Coinmarketcap

AVAX Mirrors SEI’s Breakout Structure

A look at SEI’s chart shows it recently completed a textbook falling wedge pattern, a widely-recognized bullish reversal formation. The breakout was confirmed as soon as SEI surged above the wedge structure and flipped all three major moving averages — the 50-day and 200-day MAs — into support, and soared by 76%.

SEI and AVAX Fractal Chart
SEI and AVAX Fractal Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

Now, AVAX appears to be following the exact same roadmap.

The chart shows AVAX also broke out from a falling wedge and is now consolidating just beneath its 50-day moving average resistance at $19.83. This is the same kind of consolidation SEI experienced just before it exploded to the upside.

The fractal resemblance between AVAX and SEI is striking — from wedge breakout to the MA resistance coil. It’s giving traders a strong signal that a similar breakout might be just around the corner for AVAX.

What’s Next for AVAX?

To validate the bullish setup, AVAX needs to break and close above the $19.83 level — its immediate resistance marked by the 50-day moving average. A strong move above this area, especially with volume support, could open the door for a rally toward its 200-day MA near $24.48, suggesting a potential 32% upside from current levels.

However, patience is key.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing in cryptocurrencies.


Nilesh Hembade
Written by
Nilesh Hembade
Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Author of Coinsprobe, with 5+ years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain. Since launching the platform in 2023, he delivers daily, research-driven insights through market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research. His work has been featured on Binance, Bitget, and CoinMarketCap. He is also certified through Binance Academy (NFT Certificate).
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