Key Highlights
  • The crypto market faced heavy selling pressure with 4.45% decline and $649M in liquidations, causing HYPE to drop over 9% during the downturn.
  • HYPE is showing a bullish fractal pattern similar to SUI's historical structure, with both tokens experiencing bearish moving average crossovers around 45-47 days after their peaks.
  • Following SUI's 91-day bottoming timeline, HYPE may be approaching its corrective phase end with today's dip aligning with the projected 89-day bottoming window.
  • Key levels to watch are the $25-26 support zone for stabilization and a reclaim above the 50-day moving average at $36.09 for momentum confirmation.

Date: Tue, Dec 16, 2025 | 04:45 AM GMT

The cryptocurrency market continues to face heavy selling pressure as the total crypto market cap plunged by 4.45% over the past 24 hours. This sharp correction has fueled intense volatility, triggering more than $649 million in liquidations, with long positions absorbing the majority of the losses.

This wave of risk-off sentiment has weighed heavily on major altcoins, including DEX token Hyperliquid (HYPE), which has dropped over 9% during the downturn. However, despite the steep decline, the higher-timeframe chart is beginning to hint at the formation of a bullish fractal structure — one that closely mirrors a previous move seen in SUI and could potentially set the stage for a rebound.

$hype price
Source: Coinmarketcap

HYPE Is Mirroring SUI’s Historical Fractal

A side-by-side comparison of SUI and HYPE reveals striking structural similarities. In SUI’s case, price carved out a clean rounding bottom before entering a powerful expansion phase that eventually topped with a well-defined rounding top. Following the peak, momentum cooled, price rolled over, and a bearish moving average crossover confirmed a short-term trend reversal as price retraced back toward its baseline demand zone.

Historically, SUI completed its bearish moving average crossover roughly 47 days after topping. From there, it took approximately 91 days from the cycle high for price to establish a durable macro bottom. That bottom formed inside a strong demand region between $1.70 and $2.15, which later served as the launchpad for the next major upside leg.

SUI and HYPE Fractal Chart
SUI and HYPE Fractal Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview)

HYPE now appears to be walking a very similar path.

From its recent peak, HYPE printed a bearish moving average crossover in just 45 days — nearly identical to SUI’s timing. Applying the same fractal symmetry, and allowing for a minor two-day variance, HYPE may now be approaching the final stages of its corrective phase, with today’s dip aligning closely with the projected 89-day bottoming window from the top.

What’s Next for HYPE?

If this bullish fractal continues to unfold, the immediate focus remains on stabilization around the $25–$26 support zone. This area stands out as a key demand region where buyers have historically shown interest and where structural support aligns with the fractal roadmap.

The more meaningful confirmation, however, would come from a successful reclaim of the 50-day moving average, currently positioned near $36.09. A sustained break and hold above this level would signal a shift in momentum, validate the fractal thesis, and potentially open the door for a broader recovery phase.

While this setup does not guarantee that HYPE will perfectly replicate SUI’s prior move, the similarities in structure, timing, and moving average behavior are difficult to ignore. Structurally, the chart suggests that a potential final low may be forming near the $25 region — a level that also coincides with a historically significant demand zone.

As volatility remains elevated across the market, traders and investors will be closely watching how HYPE behaves around this support area, as the next few sessions could prove decisive in determining whether this emerging bullish fractal ultimately plays out.

Disclaimer: The views and analysis presented in this article are for informational purposes only and reflect the author’s perspective, not financial advice. Technical patterns and indicators discussed are subject to market volatility and may or may not yield the anticipated results. Investors are advised to exercise caution, conduct independent research, and make decisions aligned with their individual risk tolerance.


Nilesh Hembade
Written by
Nilesh Hembade
Nilesh Hembade is the Founder and Author of Coinsprobe, with 5+ years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain. Since launching the platform in 2023, he delivers daily, research-driven insights through market analysis, on-chain data, and technical research. His work has been featured on Binance, Bitget, and CoinMarketCap. He is also certified through Binance Academy (NFT Certificate).
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